New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions
Ryan Dodson
May 31, 2023 10:14 am ET
The New York Yankees (34-23) and Seattle Mariners (28-27) play the finale of a 3-game set Wednesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Lets analyze BetMGM Sportsbooks lines around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-0
The Yankees have come to town swinging with 10-4 and 10-2 victories Monday and Tuesday. They have won 4 in a row and 7 of 10 to climb 5 games out of the AL East lead. SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa had a big game Tuesday with 4 hits and 4 RBIs. He is amid a 14-for-34 streak for a .412 clip
The Mariners have looked like cannon fodder in the series, but theyre still 6-4, 11-9 and 17-13 over the last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively. They also went 4-2 against the Yankees last season. Wednesday is a new day as they try to avoid a sweep.
Yankees at Mariners projected starters
RHP
vs. RHP
George Kirby
Schmidt (2-5, 5.58 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 50 innings.
Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K, vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
Has not faced Seattle before
Is 1-1 with a 7.27 ERA, 1.90 WHIP in 4 away starts this year vs. 1-4 with a 4.68 ERA, 1.44 WHIP in 7 home starts.
Kirby (5-4, 3.43 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, a league-leading 0.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 63 innings.
Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
Has not faced Yankees before
Is 3-2 with a 4.76 ERA, 1.24 WHIP in 5 home starts this year vs. 2-2 , 2.34 ERA, 0.98 WHIP on the road
Yankees at Mariners odds
; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Moneyline
You have to love the variance in baseball. The Yankees have outscored the Ms 20-6 and pounded out 30 hits, and theyre +115 underdogs in Game 3. Schmidts 5.58 ERA is a little deceiving because he has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 4 of 5 starts, but that 5th start has 7 ER next to his name.
Im taking the value with the YANKEES +115.
Run line/Against the spread
As mentioned, the Ms were 4-2 against New York last year, and half of those wins were of the 1-run variety. The Yankees have the best bullpen in baseball with a 2.90 ERA, and Seattle isnt far behind at 5th with a 3.24.
Giving the Yankees a run of insurance here isnt priced out for me. Take the YANKEES +1.5 (-190) to win a HALF-UNIT.
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Wednesday, May 31, 2023 at 2:14 pm