Hurricane Kiko intensifies as storm heads toward Hawaii

Published: Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 6:24 pm

Hurricane Kiko Threatens Hawaii, But Direct Impact Unlikely

Hurricane Kiko, currently a strong Category 3 storm, is moving westward in the eastern Pacific Ocean, heading in the general direction of Hawaii. However, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) anticipates that the storm will likely weaken before reaching the islands.

As of Wednesday, Kiko was located approximately 1,665 miles east of Hilo. Forecasters cite several factors contributing to the expected weakening. Cooler water temperatures and dry air are expected to act as significant barriers to the storm's intensification. Cyclones often weaken as they approach Hawaii due to these conditions and wind shear.

Forecast models predict Kiko will make its closest approach to Hawaii late next week. While the exact impacts remain uncertain, potential effects include increased shower activity and heightened waves. Sea surface temperatures between the hurricane and the Big Island are currently in the mid-70s, below the threshold of 79 degrees typically needed for a storm to strengthen.

Direct landfalls of major hurricanes in Hawaii are rare. Historical data from NOAA reveals only four major hurricanes with winds of at least 115 mph have passed within 50 miles of the islands. The remnants of Hurricane Linda in 2021 brought heavy rainfall and elevated waves, while Hurricane Douglas in 2020 prompted watches and warnings but did not make landfall. Hawaii typically experiences outer fringe impacts from tropical cyclones every one to two years. The frequency of these impacts is often influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Hurricane activity tends to be lower during La Niña events and higher during neutral or El Niño years. The peak of cyclone activity in the central Pacific typically occurs between August and October, with the season ending in November and December.

BNN's Perspective: While the current forecast suggests a low probability of direct impact from Hurricane Kiko, it's a good reminder of the importance of preparedness. Residents should stay informed about the storm's progress and heed any warnings issued by local authorities. The situation underscores the unpredictable nature of weather patterns and the need for ongoing vigilance.

Keywords: Hurricane Kiko, Hawaii, tropical cyclone, National Hurricane Center, forecast, weakening, sea surface temperatures, El Niño, ENSO, weather, storm, Pacific Ocean

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