Donald Trump: Why an indictment would have huge political and national implications
Trump shadow looms large over House GOP policy retreat
The case revolves around whether Trump illegally covered up a $130,000 payment made by his former lawyer, Michael Cohen, to Daniels to keep quiet an alleged past relationship ahead of the 2016 election. The episode could potentially represent an infringement of campaign finance law. Trump says he did not do anything wrong and has denied having an affair with Daniels.
But the ex-president launched a characteristic effort to discredit attempts to call him to account, trying to intimidate prosecutors, mobilize his grassroots supporters and pressure top GOP officials to rally to his side. Every American has a constitutional right to political self-expression, but the ex-presidents call this weekend for his loyalists Protest, take our nation back struck an ominous tone since he showed on January 6, 2021, that he was willing to incite violence to further his interests.
Trump lawyer Alina Habba told CNNs Paula Reid Sunday there would be serious consequences if Trump were to be indicted for a mere misdemeanor one possible outcome of the Manhattan probe. It is going to cause mayhem, Paula. I mean, its just a very scary time in our country, Habba said. But she also said that no one wants anyone to get hurt and Trump supporters should be peaceful.
Trump is leveraging and underlining his dominance of the GOP
An indictment would again test the truism of the Republican Party in the age of Trump that his grip on the GOPs most fervent supporters is so great that most of its lawmakers and officials feel obliged to appease him in order to preserve their political careers.
Trumps effort to politicize the case and to distract from the allegations against him has already worked as his top allies in Republican House leadership attack Bragg.
Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Sunday called it the weakest case out there. The California Republican, who has instructed GOP-led committees to investigate whether the Manhattan DA used federal funds to probe the hush money payment, said at a news conference that he had already spoken to Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan who is investigating the weaponization of the government against political opponents about looking into that question.
Mike Pence calls potential Trump indictment 'not what the American people want to see'
But the speaker also said people should not protest over what may or not happen and insisted that Trump didnt want that either. If this is to happen we want calmness out there no violence or harm to anyone else, McCarthy said.
Further underscoring Trumps firm hold on the GOP base, his social media post prompted several of his Republican critics to line up beside him. Former Vice President Mike Pence, who is mulling a campaign to challenge Trump for the 2024 nomination, told ABC News, It just feels like a politically charged prosecution here. And I, for my part, I just feel like its just not what the American people want to see.
New Hampshire Republican Gov. Chris Sununu, who has said it is time for Republicans to move on from Trump, told Jake Tapper on CNNs State of the Union the Bragg investigation was building a lot of sympathy for the former president. He added: I (had) coffee this morning with some folks, and none of them were big Trump supporters, but they all said they felt like he was being attacked.
Serious challenges the nation would face if Trump were indicted
The possibility that the former president could soon be charged has grave implications.
An indictment of a former president would be unprecedented in US history and mark another dubious distinction for the twice-impeached Trump, who sought to interrupt the historic tradition of peaceful transfers of power and lied about his defeat in the 2020 election. There is no tradition of ex-US leaders being pursued by successor administrations. So, even if the cases against Trump are legally justified, prosecutors in New York, as well as in Georgia and at the Justice Department, face a perilous and uncharted moment.
The situation is even more fraught because Trump is already an active candidate for the 2024 White House race and has already rooted his campaign in a narrative of persecution, especially regarding investigations into his conduct after the last election. He is also promising a presidency of retribution against his foes if he wins the Oval Office again.
If he is indicted, Trump will still enjoy constitutional protections and the presumption of innocence ahead of any trial. At a brittle national moment, other political figures and the media will also face pressure not to respond to his efforts to inflame the situation. Trump is already seeking to portray possible prosecutions against him by the Justice Department as politically motivated weaponizations of justice, in a way that presents a fresh challenge to President Joe Biden, his past and possibly future general election opponent.
What to know about NY prosecutors' probe into Trump's role in hush money scheme
An indictment would potentially upend the 2024 Republican presidential primary, with Trump browbeating opponents to support his claims of innocence and portraying any failure to do so as siding with what he sees as a partisan investigation for political gain. Neither Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a potential Republican candidate, nor former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who is already in the race, have yet commented on a situation that presents them with a dicey dilemma. But both would have a strong interest in preventing the 2024 primary campaign from revolving exclusively around Trump portraying himself as a political martyr.
The first Republican nominating contests are nearly a year away, so its impossible to judge how GOP primary voters and a national electorate might react to any indictment of the ex-president. Sununu, who has also been considering a presidential run, accused Democrats of building sympathy for Trump with probes like Braggs in a way that could drastically change the paradigm as we go into the 24 election. But there has already been a palpable sense among some voters that it is time to move on from the drama, chaos and legal thickets constantly thrown up by Trumps behavior. The ex-presidents attempt to lift his election-denying supporters into power cost Republicans dearly in swing states in the midterms last year. An indictment would add to the debate over whether Trumps persona and political appeal is so damaged he could not win a general election.
A charge in the Daniels case would not be Trumps only legal problem or arguably his most serious one. Justice Department probes into his role in the January 6 mob attack on the US Capitol and Trumps effort to overturn the 2020 election are still expanding. A separate special grand jury investigated Trumps pressuring of local officials to overturn Bidens 2020 win in Georgia. Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis said at the end of January that decisions in the inquiry were imminen
Monday, March 20, 2023 at 4:04 am